The news these days seems to have a mix of highs and lows. We may hear that an economic recovery is starting, but we’ve also seen some of the worst economic data in the history of our country. The challenge today is to understand exactly what’s going on and what it means relative to the road ahead. We’ve talked before about what experts expect in the second half of this year, and today that progress largely hinges upon the continued course of the virus.

A recent Wall Street Journal survey of economists noted, “A strong economic recovery depends on effective and sustained containment of Covid-19.” Given the uncertainty around the virus, we can also see what economists are forecasting for GDP in the third quarter of this year (see graph below):The Beginning of an Economic Recovery | Simplifying The MarketOverwhelmingly, economists are projecting GDP growth in the third quarter of 2020, with 5 of the 9 experts indicating over 20% growth.

Lisa Shalett, Chief Investment Officer for Morgan Stanley puts it this way:

“Indeed, the ‘worst ever’ GDP reading could be followed by the ‘best ever’ growth in the third quarter.”

As we look forward, we can expect consumer spending to improve as well. According to Opportunity Insights, as of August 1, consumer spending was down just 7.8% as compared to January 1 of this year.

Bottom Line

An economic recovery is beginning to happen throughout the country. While there are still questions that need to be answered about the road ahead, we can expect to see improvement this quarter.

Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters

Ben Stern

REALTOR ®
RE/MAX Prime Properties
407-595-8374

Chat with me now

Sign up to our email/blog and receive a FREE package of great information; An exclusive BUYER and SELLER guide, PLUS two bonus Ebooks.. THE SLIGHT EDGE and REPROGRAMING YOUR MIND FOR SUCCESS.. two great leadership books for those looking to be successful in real estate and in life.

Select list(s) to subscribe to


By submitting this form, you are consenting to receive marketing emails from: Stern Realty Team @ RE/MAX Prime Properties, 13848 Tilden Road, Winter Garden, FL, 34787, http://www.sternrealtyteam.com. You can revoke your consent to receive emails at any time by using the SafeUnsubscribe® link, found at the bottom of every email. Emails are serviced by Constant Contact